Monday, November 1, 2021

Playing Russian Roulette with a Nuclear Holocaust

 

What if I were to tell you that the US government could save hundreds of billions of dollars and make us and the rest of the world a lot safer at the same time, you might think I’d been hit on the head with, well, an ICBM. That’s an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, in case you aren’t familiar with our stockpile of nuclear weapons delivery systems.

 

The US currently has 400 of them, all sitting in silos in the Midwest. They are armed with multiple warheads, which means they could literally wipe out thousands of targets (which sounds innocuous until you realize that those “targets” are mostly cities with millions of human beings living in them) around the world in a couple of hours and probably usher in a “nuclear winter”. I have to wonder if that’s the solution the Pentagon has for the problem of global warming.

 

If that isn’t crazy enough, they are all on hair-trigger alert. Because of their vulnerability, if there is any indication that the US might be under nuclear attack by a foreign power, the President would have approximately 30 minutes to decide whether to “use them or lose them”. The problem is that once launched, they cannot be called back. This scenario has almost played out on more than one occasion over the past 50 years. So far, the trigger has not been pulled, but in essence, we’ve been playing nuclear Russian roulette for all these years.

 

It should be clear that these weapons pose a grave threat of an “accidental” nuclear holocaust. But what is also true is that they are totally unnecessary as a deterrent to nuclear attack from Russia or China (or anyone else, for that matter). That’s because the US also has huge stockpiles of nuclear weapons aboard bombers and submarines. Because these weapons are mobile, they are not vulnerable to a first strike attack by an enemy and therefore do not have to be launched on warning. Thus, eliminating all land-based ICBMs, would still leave the US with a massive nuclear deterrent. While this still means depending on the strategy of Mutually Assured Destruction to prevent nuclear holocaust (with the appropriate acronym MAD), it at least takes the finger off the trigger.

 

According to Gen. James E Cartwright, former vice chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff “By scrapping the vulnerable land-based missile force, any need for launching on warning disappears.” And the world becomes a lot safer place for our children and grandchildren, here and around the world.

 

What about the billions of $$$ in savings? It turns out that the military wants to modernize the ground-based nukes with a new generation of ICBMs named the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent, or GBSD. The cost? An estimated $364 billion on top of the spending to maintain the current stock of ICBMs during the transition. Northrop Grumman has already been awarded $13.3 billion for “engineering and manufacturing development”. (Note: Northrop Grumman stock is up almost 20% over the last year.)

 

Unfortunately, this is only the tip of the iceberg. For more detail, check out Andrew Cockburn’s new book, “The Spoils of War”. In the book Cockburn aptly quotes one Pentagon weapons designer in the 1960s telling new hires that they would be making “weapons that don’t work to meet threats that don’t exist.” This, at the height of the Cold War! It’s bad enough to waste our tax money on things that don’t work (try another Northrop boondoggle, the B-2 stealth bomber, which cost over $2 billion each in 1990 dollars for the 21 actually produced and which wasn’t “stealth” at all). But to see society’s wealth squandered on weapons that make us LESS safe is the height of insanity.

 

We would be better served if they just poured the money down the drain. Or they could use it to offset some of the costs of Build Back Better, hopefully mollifying Senators Manchin and Sinema.

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